THE FINANCIAL COMPONENT OF HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE UNDER SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATIONS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32782/2786-8273/2026-13-10Keywords:
human capital, financial instruments, budget expenditures, social protection, education, health care, modernizationAbstract
Introduction. In the context of full-scale war, socio-economic transformations, and Ukraine's European integration aspirations, ensuring the sustainable development of human capital has become a strategic challenge. The traditional model of financial support, focused on current consumption and passive transfers, proves to be insufficiently effective for the reproduction of human potential under conditions of critical resource deficits and infrastructure destruction. Purpose. The purpose of the article is a comprehensive analysis of the current state of financial instruments for human capital support in Ukraine (education, healthcare, social protection) and the substantiation of priority directions for their modernization under martial law and post-war recovery. Methods. The study is based on systemic and structural-functional analysis, economic and statistical methods, and predictive modeling based on the RDNA5 report data. The authors analyzed the dynamics of budget expenditures on the social sphere for the period 2014–2025, which allowed for identifying patterns in the transformation of state financial policy. Results. The study identified key imbalances in the current model, in particular, the predominance of current expenditures over investment ones and the effect of "fiscal displacement" of social expenditures by defense needs. It was established that the share of education expenditures in total budget spending decreased from 15–17% in the pre-crisis period to a minimum of 6.57% in 2025. Similar trends are characteristic of healthcare and social protection, where an exhaustion of internal resources to maintain social standards is observed. It is proved that the transition to result-oriented budgeting and active employment programs can significantly increase the efficiency of public funds utilization. Conclusion. The study confirms that the implementation of investment-oriented financial instruments is a necessary condition for preserving human capital as the main factor in Ukraine's recovery. Practical recommendations include expanding "money follows the result" mechanisms, strengthening the targeting of social support, and integrating international financial assistance into the national system of strategic planning.
References
Égert B., De la Maisonneuve C. The impact of the war on human capital and productivity in Ukraine. CESifo Working Paper No. 10513. CESifo, 2023. 43 p. URL: https://www.cesifo.org/en/publications/2023/working-paper/impact-war-human-capital-and-productivity-ukraine
Stabile M., Thomson S. The changing role of government in financing health care: An international perspective. Journal of Economic Literature. 2014. Vol. 52, no. 2. Pp. 480–518. URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jel.52.2.480
Institute for State Effectiveness. Rebuilding Ukraine’s human capital. Washington, DC: Institute for State Effectiveness, 2023. 36 p. URL: https://effectivestates.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ise-ukraine-human-capital.pdf
Chugunov, I., Pasichnyi, M., Nepytaliuk, A. Financial policy for humancapital development. Scientia fructuosa. 2025. N6. P.134–153. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Mykola-Pasichnyi/publication/398756342_Financial_policy_for_human_capital_development/links/6942a7777e61d05b53100e16/Financial-policy-for-human-capital-development.pdf
Артеменко Л. Б. Людський капітал: наукові підходи та стан формування в Україні. Галицький економічний вісник. 2016. Т. 50, № 1. С. 22–31. URL: https://galicianvisnyk.tntu.edu.ua/pdf/50/79.pdf
Лібанова Е. М. (ред.). Людський розвиток в Україні: соціальні та демографічні чинники модернізації національної економіки: монографія. Київ: Інститут демографії та соціальних досліджень ім. М. В. Птухи НАН України, 2012. 320 с. URL: https://idss.org.ua/monografii/Lud_Rozv_2012.pdf
Kyiv School of Economics. Ukraine Human Capital Chartbook: як людський капітал визначає сценарії розвитку України. 2025. URL: https://kse.ua/ua/about-the-school/news/ukraine-human-capital-chartbook-yak-lyudskiy-kapital-viznachaye-stsenariyi-rozvitku-ukrayini/
Економічна правда. Людський капітал України та розвиток бізнесу: як зберегти та примножити? 2024. URL: https://epravda.com.ua/publications/2024/01/24/708883/
Центр Разумкова. Розвиток людського капіталу: на шляху до якісних реформ: аналітична доповідь. Київ: Заповіт, 2018. 367 с. URL: https://razumkov.org.ua/uploads/article/2018_LUD_KAPITAL.pdf
UNDP, CIVITTA. The institutional framework in the field of human capital development policy: Analytical report (3 parts). United Nations Development Programme in Ukraine, 2023. URL: https://www.undp.org/ukraine/publications/institutional-framework-field-human-capital-development-policy
Centre for Economic Strategy. Needs of Ukraine and sources of their funding: Budget review of the general government sector – 2023. 2024. URL: https://ces.org.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/budget-2023.pdf
Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. Ukraine’s State Budget 2025: presentation. 2024. URL: https://www.mof.gov.ua/storage/files/Ukraine%20State%20Budget%202025.pdf
Centre for Economic Strategy. Ukraine’s public finances in the third year of full-scale war: Budget 2024 performance review: policy paper. 2025. URL: https://ces.org.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/policy-paper-1.pdf
UNICEF, Genesis Analytics, Partnership for Every Child. A brighter future: An investment case in early childhood development in Ukraine. Kyiv: UNICEF, 2024. 113 p. URL: https://www.unicef.org/ukraine/media/48301/file/ECD%20IC%20Final%20Report.pdf.pdf
Eurydice (European Commission). Early childhood and school education funding – Ukraine. 2025. URL: https://eurydice.eacea.ec.europa.eu/eurypedia/ukraine/early-childhood-and-school-education-funding
Обрізан М. Характеристики домогосподарств із катастрофічними медичними витратами в Україні перед повномасштабною війною. Укрінформ. 15 вересня 2024 р. URL: https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-society/3905758-harakteristiki-domogospodarstv-iz-katastroficnimi-medicnimi-vitratami-v-ukraini-pered-povnomasstabnou-vijnou.html
The fifth Ukraine Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA5). Офіційний сайт світового банку. URL: https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099022026094036395/pdf/P514499-22f93f3a-4278-42bc-b907-db9553d12069.pdf#page=4.08
World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe. Health financing in Ukraine: Reform, resilience and recovery: Synthesis report (WHO–World Bank Health Financing Reform Review). Copenhagen: WHO Regional Office for Europe, 2024. 132 p. URL: https://www.who.int/europe/publications/i/item/WHO-EURO-2024-10570-50342-75964
KSE Institute. Барометр соціальних видатків: державні видатки на соціальний захист та соціальне забезпечення у 2023 році: аналітична записка. Київ: KSE Institute, 2024. 6 с. URL: https://kse.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Sotsialnii---barometr_2023.pdf
Égert B., De la Maisonneuve C. (2023) The impact of the war on human capital and productivity in Ukraine. CESifo Working Paper, no. 10513, 43 p. CESifo. Available at: https://www.cesifo.org/en/publications/2023/working-paper/impact-war-human-capital-and-productivity-ukraine
Stabile M., Thomson S. (2014) The changing role of government in financing health care: An international perspective. Journal of Economic Literature, vol. 52, no. 2, pp. 480–518. Available at: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jel.52.2.480
Institute for State Effectiveness (2023) Rebuilding Ukraine’s human capital. Washington, DC: Institute for State Effectiveness, 36 p. Available at: https://effectivestates.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ise-ukraine-human-capital.pdf
Chugunov, I., Pasichnyi, M., Nepytaliuk, A. (2025). Financial policy for humancapital development. Scientia fructuosa. N6. P.134–153. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Mykola-Pasichnyi/publication/398756342_Financial_policy_for_human_capital_development/links/6942a7777e61d05b53100e16/Financial-policy-for-human-capital-development.pdf
Artemenko L. B. (2016) Liudskyi kapital: naukovi pidkhody ta stan formuvannia v Ukraini [Human capital: scientific approaches and the state of formation in Ukraine]. Halytskyi ekonomichnyi visnyk, vol. 50, no. 1, pp. 22–31. Available at: https://galicianvisnyk.tntu.edu.ua/pdf/50/79.pdf
Libanova E. M. (ed.) (2012) Liudskyi rozvytok v Ukraini: sotsialni ta demohrafichni chynnyky modernizatsii natsionalnoi ekonomiky: monohrafiia [Human development in Ukraine: social and demographic factors of modernization of the national economy: monograph]. Kyiv: Instytut demohrafii ta sotsialnykh doslidzhen im. M. V. Ptukhy NAN Ukrainy, 320 p. Available at: https://idss.org.ua/monografii/Lud_Rozv_2012.pdf
Kyiv School of Economics (2025) Ukraine Human Capital Chartbook: yak liudskyi kapital vyznachaie stsenarii rozvytku Ukrainy [Ukraine Human Capital Chartbook: how human capital determines Ukraine’s development scenarios]. Available at: https://kse.ua/ua/about-the-school/news/ukraine-human-capital-chartbook-yak-lyudskiy-kapital-viznachaye-stsenariyi-rozvitku-ukrayini/
Ekonomichna pravda (2024) Liudskyi kapital Ukrainy ta rozvytok biznesu: yak zberehty ta prymnozhyty? [Ukraine’s human capital and business development: how to preserve and multiply it?]. Available at: https://epravda.com.ua/publications/2024/01/24/708883/
Tsentr Razumkova (2018) Rozvytok liudskoho kapitalu: na shliakhu do yakisnykh reform: analitychna dopovid [Human capital development: on the way to quality reforms: analytical report]. Kyiv: Zapovit, 367 p. Available at: https://razumkov.org.ua/uploads/article/2018_LUD_KAPITAL.pdf
UNDP, CIVITTA (2023) The institutional framework in the field of human capital development policy: Analytical report (3 parts). United Nations Development Programme in Ukraine. Available at: https://www.undp.org/ukraine/publications/institutional-framework-field-human-capital-development-policy
Centre for Economic Strategy (2024) Needs of Ukraine and sources of their funding: Budget review of the general government sector – 2023. Available at: https://ces.org.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/budget-2023.pdf
Ministry of Finance of Ukraine (2025). Available at: https://www.mof.gov.ua/storage/files/Ukraine%20State%20Budget%202025.pdf
Centre for Economic Strategy (2025) Ukraine’s public finances in the third year of full-scale war: Budget 2024 performance review: policy paper. Available at: https://ces.org.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/policy-paper-1.pdf
UNICEF, Genesis Analytics, Partnership for Every Child (2024) A brighter future: An investment case in early childhood development in Ukraine. Kyiv: UNICEF, 113 p. Available at: https://www.unicef.org/ukraine/en/media/48671/file/IC%20for%20ECD%20Final%20Report_EN.pdf.pdf
Eurydice (European Commission) (2025) Early childhood and school education funding – Ukraine. Available at: https://eurydice.eacea.ec.europa.eu/eurypedia/ukraine/early-childhood-and-school-education-funding
Obrizan M. (2024) Kharakterystyky domohospodarstv iz katastrofichnymy medychnymy vytratamy v Ukraini pered povnomasshtabnoiu viinoiu [Characteristics of households with catastrophic medical expenditures in Ukraine before the full-scale war]. Ukrinform, September 15. Available at: https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-society/3905758-harakteristiki-domogospodarstv-iz-katastroficnimi-medicnimi-vitratami-v-ukraini-pered-povnomasstabnou-vijnou.html
The fifth Ukraine Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA5) (2026). Available at: https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099022026094036395/pdf/P514499-22f93f3a-4278-42bc-b907-db9553d12069.pdf#page=4.08
World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe (2024) Health financing in Ukraine: Reform, resilience and recovery: Synthesis report (WHO–World Bank Health Financing Reform Review, 132 p.). Copenhagen: WHO Regional Office for Europe. Available at: https://www.who.int/europe/publications/i/item/WHO-EURO-2024-10570-50342-75964
KSE Institute (2024) Barometr sotsialnykh vydatkiv: derzhavni vydatky na sotsialnyi zakhyst ta sotsialne zabezpechennia u 2023 rotsi: analitychna zapyska [Barometer of social expenditures: public expenditures on social protection and social security in 2023: analytical note]. Kyiv: KSE Institute, 6 p. Available at: https://kse.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Sotsialnii---barometr_2023.pdf
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Л.В. Козарезенко , О.Я. Гейко

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

